By Michael Clark
Contributing Writer
Last weekend, “Deadpool & Wolverine” took in over $438 million at the global box office. As impressive as that may sound, it’s only the third biggest opening of the year. Nonetheless, it was a bigger take than the first two Deadpool installments, both released pre-COVID-19. For even the most glass-half-empty industry analysts that’s pretty good news.
The total domestic box office take for last weekend for all releases (26 total) exceeded $276 million, $65 million higher than the previous 2024 best (June 14-16), which included over double the number of titles (58). That’s even more good news … or is it?
For all intents and purposes, “Deadpool & Wolverine” was the last major studio tentpole movie of the summer and the 2024 calendar year in general. “Tentpole” is, in industry terms, applied to high-profile movies expected to perform well at the box office, as well as being the source for retail tie-ins like action figures, fast food restaurant branding, and the like.
‘B’ Product
Everything coming out between now and Labor Day are titles that are deemed “B product”: titles not worthy of the coveted March through July time frame. This has been the case for every one of my nearly 30 years as a critic, and long before. August is unofficially regarded as the industry summer dumping ground or clearing house.
Most of these “B” titles aren’t screened in advance for the press, or screened too late for most hard-copy daily papers and weekly tabloids. The reason behind this: The studio knows it’s releasing a turkey and would rather take a chance not previewing it than screening it, knowing most critics will pan it. The new M. Night Shyamalan crime thriller flick “Trap,” opening this weekend, wasn’t screened for press.
Beginning in early September, all of the studios (major and otherwise) will begin releasing their “prestige” product — movies designed to garner critical acclaim and awards consideration. More often than not, these titles rarely do well at the box office; studios have already made this part of their release strategies.
Money Makers
Around 75% of all yearly major studio revenues come from titles released from May through July. This affords them the opportunity to lose money on prestige titles without taking severe hits on their bottom lines.
Summer movies, regardless of critical opinion (which is usually not great), pay the bills; fall films (underscore “films”) win awards.
And there (as Hamlet spoke) is the rub. If you’re a studio president and know (as you should) what brings in the big bucks and what doesn’t, what are you going to green light for that primo summer season?
It doesn’t take a brain surgeon to determine you’re going to go with the tried and true intellectual properties with proven track records that bring in movie goers. For movies, IP refers mostly to copyrighted franchises owned by particular studios. For example, Marvel is a Disney IP, Harry Potter is a Warner IP, and Star Trek is a Paramount IP.
Modern day sequels began in earnest with “The Godfather Part II” in 1974. With the Stephen Spielberg movies “Jaws” and “Raiders of the Lost Ark,” sequels became the new normal. The logic (“if audiences liked the first installment chances are they’ll like it again and again”) makes complete sense: Don’t take chances when you don’t have to. That’s where we are today.
Each and every one of the titles in the top 12 grossing movies of 2024, as of the end of July, are either sequels, prequels (a made-up movie industry word), or remakes.
Recycled Stories
People, regular movie goers especially, are creatures of habit, and for the most part don’t do well with change or the unfamiliar. They like and gravitate toward what they know. This is the main reason why studios recycle product. It’s a win-win for them with little risk, and big rewards.
Of the 12 movies on the 2024 list, I’ve seen all of them but would only recommend “Deadpool & Wolverine,” “A Quiet Place: Day One,” and “Twisters” — a sequel, a prequel, and a standalone remake.
Four of the top 12 titles (“Inside Out 2,” “Despicable Me 4,” “Kung Fu Panda 4,” and “The Garfield Movie”) are animated. With a scant few exceptions, animated features always score big, mostly because parents desire any kind of break and view these flicks as temporary electronic pacifiers. Nothing contained in any of these movies gets close to being original, which, again, is fine. They fill a particular need. If for no other reason, Hollywood is adept at providing product to meet audience demands.
The remaining five titles on the top 12 list (“Dune: Part Two,” “Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire,” “Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes,” “Bad Boys: Ride or Die,” and “Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire”) fall into the sci-fi/action genre slot and, once more, serve a particular fan need. Although these movies enjoy some mainstream spillover, the lion’s share of their take comes from self-confessed “movie nerds.”
‘Don’t Fix It’
So where does that leave us? Hollywood has a well-earned and thoroughly understandable reputation of a “don’t fix it if it ain’t broke” mindset. I agree with it.
Like all enterprises big and small, studios are in business to make money. I get it, and anyone who doesn’t hasn’t had to reconcile a balance sheet or balance a checkbook.
The problem, if you can call it that, with movies, and all other artistic ventures in general, is that the scales of creativity and commerce ultimately have to reach a happy medium. One cannot sustain a business model of creative integrity and progress without the assurance of (mostly) guaranteed, perhaps recycled, product.
Ironically, the 13th top grossing movie of the year so far, and the only original title, “IF,” is an animated/live-action hybrid starring “Deadpool” lead Ryan Reynolds, which was directed by John Krasinski, the filmmaker of the first two “A Quiet Place” movies.
I really hate to admit it, but if I were the head of a major studio, I would continue with the status quo: Make movies that please the masses, and bank coin when the weather is hot. Then, when the days are shorter and cooler, produce others that might lose some money, but increase the chances for awards recognition.
It’s a delicate and perpetually imperfect balance.
Originally from Washington, D.C., Michael Clark has provided film content to over 30 print and online media outlets. He co-founded the Atlanta Film Critics Circle in 2017 and is a weekly contributor to the “Shannon Burke Show” on FloridaManRadio.com. Since 1995, he has written over 4,000 movie reviews and film-related articles. He favors dark comedy, thrillers and documentaries.